Why Google cannot afford to deprecate third party cookies?

Cookies are here to stay. Advertisers should shelf off their back up plans.

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Google has decided to retain cookies, despite previous plans to phase them out. This decision comes as a surprise to many, considering the ongoing discussions about privacy and data security. However, several strategic reasons support Google’s choice to keep cookies in play. From lagging in the AI race to facing stiff competition from Meta Ads and indigenous mapping services, Google’s move to retain cookies is crucial for maintaining its advertising edge and overall business stability. Let’s delve into the reasons behind why Google is not deprecating cookies and what this means for the future.

Key Reasons Behind Google’s Decision

1. Lagging in the AI Race

Google is lagging in the AI race. OpenAI, with its ChatGPT, has made significant strides and is miles ahead. Google’s Gemini project, while promising, has a lot of catching up to do. AI advancements are crucial for Google to stay competitive in providing precise and contextual answers to user queries. Until Google does some heavy lifting in the AI domain, it risks losing ground to OpenAI and other competitors.

2. Stress on Google Search Volumes

Google Search volumes will face stress as ChatGPT gains popularity. Consumers are gradually shifting towards more precise and contextual answers provided by AI-driven platforms like ChatGPT. This shift in consumer behaviour means Google needs to enhance its search capabilities. Gemini, Google’s AI project, still has a long way to go to match the effectiveness of ChatGPT. This stress on search volumes directly impacts Google’s core business, making it imperative to maintain its competitive edge in other areas, including advertising.

3. Competition in Maps Services

Google Maps is starting to face competition from indigenous players like Ola’s Krutrim and MapMyIndia. These local competitors are not only providing robust mapping services but also pushing Google to drop their prices to remain competitive. The rise of these alternatives underscores the need for Google to bolster its other revenue streams, like advertising, to offset any potential losses in the maps segment.

4. Stiff Competition from Meta Ads

Meta Ads (formerly Facebook Ads) have given Google Ads stiff competition. Meta’s ability to capture more granular data on user behaviour, especially without relying on third-party cookies, gives it an edge. Meta’s extensive data collection capabilities allow for more precise audience targeting and segmentation, which are crucial for effective advertising. Google, without third-party cookies, would lose a significant advantage in user tracking, audience segmentation, and retargeting capabilities. This could bring Google’s advertising business under stress, a business that contributes 77% of their revenues (Google Search – 56.9%; YouTube Ads – 10.3%; Google Network – 10.2%) according to their 2023 earnings report.

The Importance of Cookies for Google Ads

Giving up on cookies would make Google Ads lose a significant advantage. Cookies enable Google to track user behaviour, create detailed audience segments, and retarget ads effectively. These capabilities are vital for maintaining the effectiveness of Google’s advertising platform. Without cookies, advertisers would find it challenging to reach their target audiences with precision, diminishing the value of Google Ads.

Revenue Contribution and Future Investments

Google’s advertising business is a major revenue driver, contributing 77% of their total revenues. Stable revenue from Google Ads is essential for Google to fund its other initiatives. These include advancements in AI, improvements in Google Maps, and enhancing their search engine capabilities. With competitors like OpenAI, Meta, and indigenous map services posing significant threats, maintaining a robust advertising business is crucial for Google’s long-term strategy.

Why Google is Not Deprecating Cookies

Why would Google want to dig its own grave, considering it has some catching up to do in other areas? Here are some key reasons why Google is not deprecating cookies:

Revenue Stability: Google Ads’ revenue is critical for funding other projects and staying competitive.

Competitive Edge: Maintaining cookies helps Google keep its edge in user tracking and targeted advertising.

Ad Effectiveness: Cookies are essential for creating effective ad campaigns, ensuring advertisers get a good return on investment.

In conclusion, cookies are here to stay, and advertisers should shelf off their backup plans for now. Google’s decision to retain cookies is strategic, ensuring they maintain their competitive edge in advertising while they catch up in other critical areas like AI and mapping services. This stability allows Google to invest in future innovations and remain a dominant player in the tech industry.

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